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Welcome to the TPS strategies page!

We want you to get the best out of our ratings. We know that our ratings are by far the best in the country, but we understand that it can be a little daunting at first, and some new members have a hard time finding a way to make regular profits. So here are some of the most profitable strategies that our current long standing members are using.....

Using Expected Goals (xG) data from Infogol, Tom Victor provides Bundesliga result and scoreline predictions as Frankfurt aim to put the pressure on their top four rivals. 'This Sunday sees. A level risk staking plan means risking a fixed stake or ‘unit’ per bet (e.g. £5 stakes throughout my Mug Betting Experiment). A selection system that doesn’t produce a profit on a level stake basis won’t profit under any staking plan. Fundamentally it needs to have a positive edge. There are two types of level-risk staking plans.

Please take your time to read through them, check out the results and get involved on the relevant forum pages. The best way to learn and to profit is by working together and interacting, so don't be afraid to post comments on the forum.

The strategies outlined below are proven strategies, most of which have been devised by our members. The TPS ratings provide a solid strike rate and results are very consistent. This is a great starting base for any strategy!

Our Proven Strategies With Full Up to Date Results

Jason's Dutching Strategy

I have been 'dutching' the 1st and 2nd rated horse, starting with the first
race of the day, here are the rules:

Set my daily target, i.e £10. £20, £50 or whatever you are comfortable with.

1) Skip the race if one of the top 2 rated is a non runner
2) Skip the race if one of the horses is 'odds on'
3) split your stake with the intention of winning your profit target regardless of which horse wins (there are lots of handy calculators that will work this out for you)
4) If they both lose, repeat for the next race but this time you add the losses from the previous races!

5) We stop after 5 consecutive losses or 15% of bank is gone.

Usually there is a winner within the first few races which ensures us a guaranteed profit on the day.

What is 'Dutching' and How Do I do It?

For those of you who are not familiar with Dutching, then basically Dutching means to bet on more than 1 horse in the same race, then calculate your stake so that if any of your horses win, you make a profit!

In our case, this Dutching strategy involves backing 2 horses in the same race, in fact its the TPS Ratings top 2 rated horses.

2^NdRPlaceLAY's (4 Max Odds)

Overall strategy

Employing the TPS 2nd Rated Selections Lay all under 4 BSP.

This Strategy is designed to play a sequence of bets until an overall profit is achieved, each time we encounter a losing bet the next stake in the staking plan is placed on the next Lay bet, continue increasing the stakes for each bet until the overall win in the sequence is achieved.

Staking Plan is shown on the results page for this strategy.

In the proofing shown we began with £500 working bank and £1500 reserve bank, but we do not envisage using the reserve bank unless we encounter a run that we have not observed nor anything near to date.

The gearing for this staking began at 0-001% of the staring bank of £500 which mean't the first stake was just £0.50p the next staking increments in a loosing sequence would be as per 2^nd stake below:-

1^st Stake = 0.001% of £500 = £0.50

2^nd Stake = Stake 1 * 2.20

3^rd Stake = Stake 2 * 2.25

4^th Stake = Stake 3 * 1.33

5^th Stake = Stake 4 * 1.33

6^th Stake = stake 5 * 1.33

7^th Stake = Stake 6 * 1.33

8^th Stake = Stake 7 * 1.32

9^th Stake = Stake 8 * 1.28

10^th Stake = Stake 9 * 1.25

11^th Stake = Stake 10 * 1.24

12^th Stake = Stake 11 * 1.24

13^th Stake = Stake 12 * 1.23

14^th Stake = Stake 13 * 1.22

15^th Stake = Stake 14 * 1.22

16^th Stake = Stake 15 * 1.21

17^th Stake = Stake 16 * 1.21

18^th Stake = Stake 17 * 1.19

19^th Stake = Stake 18 * 1.18

20^th Stake = Stake 19 * 1.17

21^st Stake = Stake 20 * 1.16

22^nd Stake = Stake 21 * 1.15

23^rd Stake = Stake 22 * 1.14

24^th Stake = Stake 23 * 1.13

25^th Stake = Stake 24 * 1.12

26^th Stake = Stake 19 * 1.11

27^st Stake = Stake 20 * 1.10

28^nd Stake = Stake 21 * 1.09

29^rd Stake = Stake 22 * 1.08

30^th Stake = Stake 24 * 1.07

You will very rarely ever need all these stakes but even if you need to go half way the actual loses in the sequence will be reduced by some winning (in our case losing Lay Bets) So far I have never been uncomfortable during even the worst runs I have experienced.

Once the overall gain is achieved the sequence stops and Ideally another begins at the starting stake and so on. (you could if you choose to simply stop for the day if a profitable sequence is achieved.

In the case of the daily roster, finishing without concluding a winning sequence, continue the bets the next day (or when ever you are able) following on from where we finished on the staking plan.

The real benefit with this strategy is the longer the conclusion takes, the higher the stakes become, but because this is based on Lay betting the strike rate is reasonably high, which means the overall sequence deficit in an in-concluded run is considerably reduced by the frequent Lay's (or loosing Bets) along the way. Therefore normally by the time the 'OVERALL' winning bet occurs the raised stakes yield an 'enhanced profit'.

I recommend a working bank (for our proofing we use £500) but you should use whatever you are comfortable with) and a reserve bank of three times the start bank (£1500)to begin with. My first stake began at £0.50 (or 0.001% of the working bank of £500), each stake then rise as shown in the staking plan until an overall profit is achieved in the sequence.

Although the first stake is very small the compounding factor still allows very good long term growth, in fact the first month produced well over 60% growth on the start bank, so 60% growth month on month would be VERY rewarding as we continually add the profits and grow the stakes slowly and surely.

In fact the early proofed records show over £830 profit in just six weeks, and that's from a starting working bank of £500.

Each time I achieve a concluded winning sequence, I share the profits between the working bank, which compounds the staking plan, and the reserve bank which builds up to provide us with additional 'INSURANCE' should we encounter any difficult runs.

This is the way I manage the strategy and is exactly reflected in the proofed results.

The strategy works as follows – (you can use what ever multiple you choose)

I bet either £10/20/30/40/50 or mostly £20/30/40/50/60 resetting back to £10 or £20 after each winner.

We provide our top 2 rated horses for every race. We will be using the 1st rated horse.

If the 1st rated is a non runner we often use the 2nd rated as this becomes the 1st rated by default. But you can choose to skip any races where the 1st rated isnt declared.

In addition you should set a daily profit target and if you hit it, stop regardless of where you are in the 90 min strategy.

For example, the 2nd race yesterday Azure Amour won at 5/1 – £30.00 x 5/1 banked £150.00 less the £20 from the 1st race loser means a net of £130.00. I actually stopped at that point as I like to make £100 a day if possible.

You must also have a stop loss – mine is the £50 or £60 last bet – it means there has been 5 continuous losing bets.

So I can lose either £150.00 or £200.00 on any one day. I also dont bet EVERY Day – We do not include Saturdays and Sundays in our results as I don't find it worthwhile betting on these days!

Jame's Prize Points Strategy

This is a PROVEN strategy that works along side the TPS ratings. This strategy was devised by ‘James’ who is one of our long standing members. James has spent a lot of time perfecting this strategy and his efforts have paid off with a very profitable system.

'I have been a member now for 5 months and firstly I would like to say a huge thank you and well done to everyone who contributes on the forum. The information and advice offered is unbelievable!!'

It has taken the 5 months to now settle on a strategy that suits both my style of betting and profit targets. I have taken Matt’s advice and used the ratings and also done a little bit of my own research and hard work! Therefore, my strategy begins the night before a days racing as soon as prices are posted on the Racing post website.

The Strategy:

I limit my betting to races containing 8 runners or less and quickly go through all cards to find them – this varies from 6 races a day to 12 on busy days later in the week. All race types except sellers and claimers are included.

I then use an old rating method that has previously served me well to rate the top horses in each race. The rating system is:

Score the horse for his last 3 runs – 5pts for a win, 3 pts for 2nd, 2 pts for a 3rd and 1pt for a 4th.

• If the horse has won over course award 2pts
• If the horse has won over distance award 3pts
• If the horse has won over course and distance award 4 points
• If the horse has been a beaten favourite award 2 pts
• Finally if the horse is in the first 3 of the betting award 3 points.
• Therefore a maximum score for a horse would be 24 pts.

To this score I then add the horses RPR (Racing Post Rating).

To this I then allocate a score depending on the price of the horse at that given time. This scoring is as follows:

• Evens – 23
• 11/10- 21
• 6/5 – 21
• 5/4 – 20
• 11/8 – 19
• 6/4 – 18
• 13/8 – 17
• 7/4 – 16
• 15/8 – 16
• 2/1 – 15
• 9/4 – 14
• 5/2 – 13
• 11/4 – 12
• 3/1 – 11
• 10/3 – 11
• 7/2 – 10
• 4/1 – 9
• 9/2 – 8
• 5/1 or longer 7
• A score of 24 is given to odds on horses regardless of price.

Therefore an example would be:

2.15 @ Lingfield – Aurora Grey

Form Score – 17

RPR – 75

Price when calculated – 11/8 – 19

Total – 111

Once all races are covered I then wait until the morning to check my scores with Matts ratings and also Richards matched ratings. If the same horse comes up as top rated then it is a selection.

I combine selections in yankees, trixies etc but they can also be bet in singles.

The strike rate has been very high ranging from 40% to 75% most days and there have even been a couple of days with a 100% strike rate.

Pipping's PRS Strategy

Pippin has had amazing success with this simple but effective strategy. If you are looking for a quick solution

So guys and gals, I thought I’d better share this Place Recovery System with you which is operates at 100% success (according to my records) and it is a slight play on some of the strategies we’ve seen before.

So how does it work:-

1. Use Betfair Exchange standard place option.

2. Matt’s first rated horse is always the preferred selection with the second rated in default.

3. We want odds between 1.6 and 3.5.

4. Races should have 6 plus horses

5. If the first rated is below 1.6 to place we move to the second rated and if neither are an option we swerve.

6. Your daily profit should be no more than 1% of your bet bank.

7. You calaculate your target profit/stake so e.g. If looking for £25 use the Jonny Bravo formula 25×1.06=£26.5/odds – 1 (so if 1.6, 0.6)=stake. If a race loses you add the lost stake to 25 and apply the formula again.

8. STOP AT WIN.

9. Stop loss is 5 races but I don’t think you’ll need it.

TPS Rated Top Jockey/Trainer Selection Process

1. Open up SportingLife.com and make a note of the following – date, venue, time, top jockey (by number of wins), top trainer (by number of wins), name of horse being ridden by top jockey, name(s) of horse(s) trained by top trainer (list them all if more than 1), how many naps for each selection (if any or 0 if none), number of runners, race type (as detailed at the top of the page on SL.com). If the same horse is ridden and trained by the top jockey and top trainer, then just make a note of the one horse.

NOTE: if there is more than one jockey or trainer with the same amount of wins, then go by highest percentage. If still the same, list them all.

2. Open up the TPS ratings and make a note of which horses on the above list are rated 1^st or 2^nd. Eliminate the rest (we are only interested in the TPS rated selections that match).
3. Now eliminate any selections that are in the following race types – Hunter’s Chase, NHF (National Hunt Flat) or Novice Handicap Hurdle
4. Focusing on the 1^st rated horses first, eliminate any selections that are in races of 4 or less runners and 10 or more runners. Only races of 5 to 9 runners should remain. (This should only be at time of checking and doesn’t matter if non-runners occur afterwards).
5. Now eliminate any 1^st rated selections that are running in AW Handicap and are NOT napped. Only horses that are 1^st rated in an AW Handicap and napped should remain.
6. Now focus on the 2^nd rated horses. Eliminate any races with 3 or less and 12 or more runners. Only races with runners between 4 and 11 should remain.
7. Finally, eliminate any 2^nd rated horses running in a Handicap Hurdle.
8. The remaining horses are the qualifying selections for the day.

Staking

Here is a list of possible profitable staking plans –

Plan #1 – Level staking – 1pt on each selection every day.

Plan #2 – Progressive staking – 1% of bank on each selection every day. As the bank grows, so does the stake.

Plan #3 – Profit target – staking a certain amount on the first selection to win a specific amount, using loss recovery and stopping at a winner or after 5 losses. Avoid odds-on selections.

Fun bet – EW lucky 15. Take the first 4 selections and put them in an EW lucky 15.

Small sample of typical day

Carls Double Match System

Horse Racing Strategy

Dutching

Considered one of the most popular racing betting strategies, dutching is a process which ensures that even when you bet on several horses, you will make the same profit regardless of which horse ends up winning.

Although you may believe dutching is not worth the money, there is a reason behind the madness – the mathematical way of calculating can be highly efficient when wanting to bet a specific amount.

Dutching can become a successful horse racing strategy when you decide how much you’re willing to bet and then work out the profits, regardless of how the race turns out.

Value Betting

Another horse racing betting strategy involves a more general method that can be applied to many betting opportunities. The goal is to maximise profits over time and there is a clever way to do so.

For example, let’s say that you have identified a selection that has been given an odds price of 2/1, but you believe that there might be a higher winning chance than that. If your calculations are correct, then you have a good value bet.

Of course, no horse racing betting system can guarantee complete success, but at least you will get the chance to improve your handicapping skills.

Horse Racing Rating Systems

Horse racing has been around for generations and it can seem increasingly hard to make your mark in an oversaturated market. If you’re looking for horse racing advice, it’s important to start by understanding the rating system – a way of scoring a horse’s performance and examining its potential in winning or performing well in a race.

• Form
• Speed – past and present
• The reliability of the horse’s form
• Performance
• Trainer
• Jockey
• The current race – what elements are in this horse’s favour?

Having access to the horse racing rating systems can be hugely profitable and you can typically refer to either the official or speed ratings. However, the problem is identifying the most profitable horse racing system when bookmakers also have access to the same information.

Live sports betting is an exciting feature that sportsbooks are increasingly offering. If you’re betting using standard betting slips that are set in stone once the game begins, then chances are you have some sort of plan that guides your wagering. It probably includes methods of handicapping, various tools you can access and a blueprint for money management.

Bovada is the #1 choice for online sports betting!

In a way, if you’re also involved in live wagering that is probably already included in your plan. It has to be since you’re most likely using the same bank for regular and live betting.

But live sports betting, because of its nature, is quite different from normal wagering. And that means you need some additional guidelines to take you through the betting process. Here are the elements that you must address in your battle plan:

How Much You Need

Best Size Calculator Guide

How big of a sports betting bankroll you hold will determine how much you should wager and your potential to make cash. You can’t expect to make $100 in one day of betting with $100. You can’t expect to do that holding $200, $300, or even $400, for that matter.

If you want to make money on sports betting, then you’ll need a stake of at least $500… preferably $750 to $1,000. Why that much? It costs $11 to place a basic point spread bet. That $11 represents about 3% of your bank. It’s advisable to wager no more than between 2% and 6% of your roll on anyone bet.

Your Bet Size and Risk

Best Size Calculator Guide

How big of a sports betting bankroll you hold will determine how much you should wager and your potential to make cash. You can’t expect to make $100 in one day of betting with $100. You can’t expect to do that holding $200, $300, or even $400, for that matter.

If you want to make money on sports betting, then you’ll need a stake of at least $500… preferably $750 to $1,000. Why that much? It costs $11 to place a basic point spread bet. That $11 represents about 3% of your bank. It’s advisable to wager no more than between 2% and 6% of your roll on anyone bet.

With $500, you’ll be able to do that, allowing you to make some mistakes and make adjustments in order to win. You’ll have 45 bets at $11 each. That’s a decent number of wagers. Also, you’re trying to win 60% to 65% of your bets. Why that percentage? On average that’s the winning percentage over time of successful professional sports bettors.

If 45 point spread bets are placed and the bettor manages to win 65%, here’s the way it works: they will win 29 bets and lose 16. After all is said and done, they’ll have $609 in the bank. Also, they will have $5.00 left in the bank that they have not risked, giving them $614.

You may be thinking that’s not very good. You may have thought by making 45 bets, you could have turned that $500 into $2,000! Consider this, you started with $500 and have increased that original amount by almost 23%. What other investment pays like that? Additionally, even if you ran off a string of 45 wins, the most you’d make on a basic point spread wager of $11 would be $10, giving you a total of $945.

So first, you have to decide what your bankroll will be for a given event. If you think of the event as one big bet, then you may certainly apply the 5% rule and use 5% of your existing cash. You may want to be ultraconservative and use less than 5% or you may want to go high-risk and use 10% or more. It’s up to you. But one thing that you should consider is the damage that might be done to your business if you risk more than 5% of your bank.

Whatever limit you choose, do not raise it to make up for losses. The primary thing you need to remember is you have to be comfortable with whatever limit you’ve chosen.

How Much to Bet?

There are various theories regarding how to manage your bankroll. The best of these is to oversee your grubstake by being conservative. Wager between 2% and 6% of your cash. Stay away from parlays and other exotics as these really favor the sportsbook and not the sports bettor. Don’t get greedy. Make your first 45 to 50 wagers single wagers.

Once you’ve increased you stake by 25%, start taking some calculated risks. But don’t go crazy. Again, you want to intelligently manage your money and that means keeping emotion, outlandish hunches and desperation betting out of the picture.

Number of Bets You Expect to Place

First, you have to divide your betting bankroll into units. A unit represents your minimum wager. If you have a $300 bank for the game, you would divide that into 10 units. That means that you would have a total of 30 one-unit bets to make with each unit being worth $10.

If you decide to divide your money differently, into units worth $5, $15 or $20, it will affect how many one-unit bets you have to make. Here are some examples:

There are sportsbooks that will take $5.00 bets. If you want to be conservative and double the number of single unit bets you make, which can keep you in the game longer, then go with units worth $5.00.

Types of Bets and Number of Units

Prior to the game, you should also know what types of bets you’re going to make and how many units you’re going to risk on each type of wager. Additionally, you need to have a plan for expanding your betting if you’re showing a profit partway through the game.

As an example, you may decide that your foundation bet, the one you make consistently, will be one that carries even odds, or you may decide that foundation wager will range from even to 2-1 odds.

Perhaps you’ve decided to make numerous bets at a time. You’ll need to think about the range of risk you’re willing to take and how many units you’re willing to put towards each type of wager every time you bet.

As an example, with $5 units you may want to make the following: 1 one-unit even odds bet, 1 two-unit bet that has odds ranging from +250-+400, and 1 one-unit bet on a wager carrying odds over +600. Each time you wager, you’ll use 4 units.

The Long Run

Professional sports betting is not about a quick-hit win on a 500-1 shot. That’s for amateurs. It is about what every other business is about—knowledge, knowledge and more knowledge honed through experience and transformed into skills that will make you successful. Money management is one of the most important aspects of this endeavor.

In the movie Jerry Maguire, the pro football free agent demands of Maguire, the player’s agent, “Show me the money!” That phrase from that film became famous. For the player it was all about that agent pulling off the big deal.

The same can be said about in-running wagering. When all is said and done, it really is about you’re being able to show that money—to hold it and have it. If you can’t, if you’ve lost rather than won, then you’ve had a bad day at the office.

One of the major problems for any sports bettor and especially those wagering on live events, is bankroll management. Yet, this is the essence of being a successful sports bettor.

A Few More Tips

In order to create your live betting battle plan, you’ll have to know the ins and outs on whatever sport you’re wagering. You’ll also have to know what types of bets are available to you at a specific betting site and what bets are offered for the specific sport on which you’re wagering.

Sports gambling, like other types of gambling, is all about money management. Always remember that successful sports bettors, which means those who are in the game for the long run, are experts at three things—sports rules and strategies, understanding odds, and money management.

Bank My Stake Bet Victoria Texas

Keeping Track

Make sure that you write down every bet that you make, the type of bet and how much you wagered. Record all wins and loses and keep a ledger tally on how much you’ve lost or made. It’s about being smart in every aspect of the game—who you wager on, the types of bets you make and the way in which you oversee your cash.

Know Your Limit and Stick to It

You know you’re a poor money manager when you’re always going over budget. Money management takes discipline and many sports bettors are bad at it because they lack discipline.

It may help if you think of this as an investment. Ask yourself, would you keep pouring cash into a bad investment? Chances are you would set a limit on how much you’re willing to invest in a stock or some other venture. In the same way, set a limit for the game you’re betting and spend no more if you lose it.

Be Conservative

If you wager conservatively, that would be one unit per wager, you’ll stretch your bets out and this will give you a much better chance of winning than if you put your entire roll on one or two bets. You’ll be enticed to make up for loses quickly by putting a lot on the line. Don’t do it.

One Wager at a Time

Make one wager at a time. You may want to try to hedge your bets by making various wagers on one play, period, quarter or one at bat.

Streaks End

If you’re on a streak, whether it’s a winning or losing, remember that all streaks end. Also remember that a winning streak is partly due to your hard work and analysis but it is also due to circumstances that you could not imagine and chance happenstances that no one has control over. In other words, don’t start to feel invincible. Everyone loses and you need to be ready for it.

All or Nothing

You may get greedy or desperate and decide to go for all or nothing by wagering everything on a bet that pays 18-1. You may luck out and hit that wager. But chances are you’ll lose it. Throwing everything you have at one bet runs contrary to the term “money management.”

Bank My Stake Bet Victoria

If you find yourself going all in when live betting, your best choice as far as money management goes is to step away and stop betting.

Bank My Stake Betvictor

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